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Would Australian Households Be Better Off if We Ditch Negative Gearing?

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Would Australian Households Be Better Off if We Ditch Negative Gearing

Economic modelling undertaken by University of Melbourne economists, and presented to the Reserve Bank last month, shows that three-quarters of Australian Households would be better off if negative gearing is abolished.

The study was posted on the Reserve Bank website for public release on Friday.

The paper explores the implications of negative gearing – including a 30 per cent collapse in the supply of rental properties – and found that abolishing negative gearing would lead to an overall welfare gain of 1.5 per cent of GDP.

Negative gearing is a policy that largely benefits landlords, and for the 17 per cent of the Australia population that have property investments – out of which 70 per cent are negatively geared – would be worse off.

The study estimated that thirteen per cent of the population would be directly influenced by the removal of negative gearing, and likely to quit their holdings.

“The housing prices fall because removing negative gearing takes a significant amount of housing investment out of the property market,” the report said.

“Both the proportion of landlords and the amount of resources allocated to housing investment, given by the average expenditure, have fallen significantly after the policy reform.

Importantly, removing negative gearing increases the average homeownership rate of the economy from 66.7 per cent to 72.2 per cent.

The improvement in homeownership was observed most predominantly among poor households, where the fall in house price and the rise in rent reduce the price-to-rent ratio in the economy by 4.2 per cent.

“This has direct implications on housing affordability as the fall in house price lowers both the downpayment requirement for mortgages and the size of mortgages required to purchase a house, making it easier for households to own a home.”

If negative gearing was to be scrapped, the average mortgage size held by homeowners would likely decrease 21 per cent.

“Eliminating negative gearing takes young landlords who were rich enough to meet a downpayment requirement for investment properties away from the market.

“This reconciles a recent trend in the property market that there has been a rise in investment housing debt holdings by young and rich 35 households who would have benefitted the most from negative gearing concessions.

“The aggregate welfare for the economy improves upon the repeal of negative gearing … around 80 per cent of households are better off after the policy reform.”

Australia’s negative gearing regime stands alone against comparable OECD countries. Only New Zealand and Japan allow the unrestricted use of negative gearing losses to offset income from other sources.

The report’s authors, Yunho Cho, Shuyun May Li, and Lawrence Uren said that along with their findings on negative gearing it would also be worth considering some partial restrictions, such as allowing tax deductions for mortgage interest payments only.

Originally Published: www.brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

Sydney Baby Boomers drive real estate boom in Brisbane

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Sydney Baby Boomers drive real estate boom in Brisbane

Brisbane’s bayside suburb of Wynnum is an attractive option for southern buyers.Source:Supplied

A MIGRATION of cashed-up Baby Boomers from Sydney will lead to a real estate boom in Brisbane, according to property investment experts.

A Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) members’ survey revealed that Brisbane was regarded as the best capital city for property investment.

Of the members who participated in the survey, 46.15 per cent rated Brisbane as the best capital for investment prospects in 2018.

PIPA chairman Peter Koulizos said the Queensland capital was expected to boom as a side effect of the Sydney property boom happening when Baby Boomers were looking at retiring.

“People that have a lot of equity in their home can retire or semi-retire by selling up and buying a home in southeast Queensland,” Mr Koulizos said.

And with the median house price in Sydney more than $1 million, he said this would give them a sizeable pile of cash left over after buying a home further north.

“That is because there is such a big price difference between Brisbane and Sydney,” he said.

A PIPA survey from last year also rated Brisbane as the best capital city in which to invest, but in the past 12 months the average house price has increased by just 2.9 per cent.

Mr Koulizos said a boom would come eventually, but picking the exact point was tricky.

“Property booms take a long time to gather momentum, I doubt you will see double digit growth in Brisbane this year but it may be different next year,” he said.

Melbourne was the next best investment option according to the survey, with 19.23 per cent believing it was a good place to invest, followed by Perth at 15.38 per cent.

Originally published: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

The property clock strikes big for hot spot areas

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The property clock strikes big for hot spot areas

9 Lion St, Ipswich. Picture: realestate.com.auSource:Supplied

DESPITE last month’s previous lacklustre values, analyst Michael Matusik has identified the areas on the upswing.

While property values remained fairly stagnant during February, property analyst Michael Matusik has revealed where the housing market is on the upswing.

Mr Matusik’s latest property clock for houses, has Brisbane, Gold Coast, Logan, Redlands, Sunshine Coast and Gympie all in upswing.

He said a market’s position on the property clock was based on the strength and direction of key indicators including sales numbers, price and rent, demand and how much new supply there was.

His latest Matusik Missive also listed Ipswich, the Fraser Coast and Noosa markets as heading into upswing territory.

Ipswich has many beautiful homes, often at prices well below what something similar would cost in Brisbane’s suburbs. A four-bedroom home at 9 Lion St,Ipswich is listed for $879,000.

The land the home sits on was bought in 1904 from the family of the then Ipswich Mayor Mr Pettigrew. A home was built on it in 1907.

The period home has 3.5m high ceilings, VJ walls, period window, and timber floorboards which have all been restored.

REAL ESTATE: 9 Lion St, Ipswich. Picture: realestate.com.au

REAL ESTATE: 9 Lion St, Ipswich. Picture: realestate.com.auSource:Supplied

The home has two new bathrooms, a large separate dining area and study. It is listed through Steve Athanates of NGU Real Estate Ipswich.

On the Gold Coast at Robina, 196 Easthill Drive is listed for more than $850,000.

The three-bedroom home is within the Glades Golf Community.

It has formal and informal living and dining areas, and an outdoor entertainment area with a swimming pool nearby.

196 Easthill Drive, Robina. Picture: realestate.com.au

196 Easthill Drive, Robina. Picture: realestate.com.auSource:Supplied

It is listed through Ian and Linda Mills of McGrath – Palm Beach.

On the Sunshine Coast at Noosaville a home at 15 Bluebell Court is listed for offers of more than $740,000.

The three-bedroom home is in a cul-de-sac in a residential pocket bordered by the Lake Doonella Reserve.

The single-level home has open plan living and dining areas. An outdoor area overlooks the pool and reserve at the rear of the property.

15 Bluebell Court, Noosaville. Picture: realestate.com.au

15 Bluebell Court, Noosaville. Picture: realestate.com.auSource:Supplied

The property has a double lockup garage, plus on-site side parking for a boat or caravan, on the 975sq m block.

It is listed through Tansy Grant and Justin Sykes of Ray White – Noosa.

Originally published: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

Where to invest: These are the suburbs where house prices are tipped to grow

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Where to invest These are the suburbs where house prices are tipped to grow

Annaliese Bullock, 27 with husband Jared, 27 and daughter Lyla 5 months sold their Burpengary before it even went on the market. Picture: AAP/ Megan Slade.Source:News Limited

THESE are the rising stars of Brisbane’s property market, the 27 growth suburbs investors need to know about.

INVESTORS chasing capital growth in Brisbane are spoiled for choice, with a new report identifying 27 suburbs where house prices are tipped to rise — and more than half of them have a median price of less than $500,000.

Property analyst Terry Ryder has identified the rising stars of the property market — where sales are rising steadily and house prices are set to follow. And they’re not the inner-city, blue chip suburbs you might expect.

Terry Ryder, managing director of Hotspotting.com.au.

Terry Ryder, managing director of Hotspotting.com.au.Source:News Corp Australia

Moreton Bay is the number one local government area in the state for growth, according to the latest Price Predictor Index report from Hotspotting.

The report examines sales activity, rather than prices, to determine the best and worst local government areas for property market growth.

This property at 8 Kroll St, Kippa-Ring, is inviting interest over $379,000.

This property at 8 Kroll St, Kippa-Ring, is inviting interest over $379,000.Source:Supplied

This big, four-bedroom home at 35 Westminster Rd, Bellmere, is available for offers over $379,000. Picture: realestate.com.au.

This big, four-bedroom home at 35 Westminster Rd, Bellmere, is available for offers over $379,000. Picture: realestate.com.au.Source:Supplied

The Moreton Bay region has 10 rising star suburbs where sales have been steadily increasing including Banksia Beach, Bellmere and Deception Bay.

This family home at 33 Male Rd, Caboolture, is on the market for offers over $349,000.

This family home at 33 Male Rd, Caboolture, is on the market for offers over $349,000.Source:Supplied

This cute Queenslander cottage at 62 Tibrogargan Drive, Narangba, is on the market for offers over $355,000.

This cute Queenslander cottage at 62 Tibrogargan Drive, Narangba, is on the market for offers over $355,000.Source:Supplied

Quarterly sales in Burpengary have risen from 69 to 97 in the past six quarters, while at Sandstone Point, sales are up from around 40 per quarter to 55 to 60.

Homes are selling so fast in the area that Jared and Annaliese Bullock just sold their four-bedroom house in Burpengary for $475,000 before they had a chance to even put it on the market.

Mrs Bullock said she contacted an agent at RE/MAX Ultimate, who brought through a couple of potential buyers and the offer was made within days.

But she’s not too surprised, given how close the suburb is to the train station, shops and the highway. The couple also recently bought two units as investment properties in nearby Caboolture. Acacia Ridge, Algester, Eight Mile Plains, Kuraby and Sunnybank Hills are also predicted growth areas.

This four-bedroom home on 617 sqm at 13 Stonewood St, Algester, is for sale.

This four-bedroom home on 617 sqm at 13 Stonewood St, Algester, is for sale.Source:Supplied

“It’s the affordable, outer areas that have got the most activity at the moment,” Mr Ryder said.

“The infrastructure is pretty good, with train links to the centre of the city, and there’s lots of shopping centres and good amenities.”

“The sweet spot is to be about 200 metres from a school, a shopping centre and a train station.”

SUBURBS WHERE SALES ARE RISING

Acacia Ridge $402,000

Algester $493,000

Banksia Beach $550,000

Bellmere $345,000

Birkdale $533,000

Boondall $490,000

Burpengary $420,000

Caboolture $340,000

Caboolture South $290,000

Deception Bay $345,000

Eight Mile Plains $788,000

Ferny Grove $595,000

Goodna $324,000

Jimboomba $480,000

Kippa Ring $415,000

Kuraby $679,000

Mt Warren Park $390

Narangba $458,000

Petrie $410,000

Raceview $318,000

Sandstone Point $420,000

Sinnamon Park $720,000

Springfield $426,000

Sunnybank Hills $660,000

Tingalpa $516,000

Victoria Point $522,000

Woodridge $299,000

Source: Hotspotting

Originally published: www.news.com.au

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