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What’s driving the market at the moment?

At this stage there are several factors affecting each of the big three east coast markets currently.

Melbourne: Melbourne is in a bit of a fluctuating period from the data we see. There is a large amount of supply both in approval and construction phases all the way from Docklands to Werribee. The next three to five years are going to be very suburb specific for growth. Pure Property Investment (PPI) is still looking for established property under the $400,000 market in the north and south-west within 25 kilometres of the city.

Sydney: Similar story, still a large undersupply issue in certain pockets of the greater metropolitan areas and the demand looks set to continue into the next decade. Affordability and wage growth are the major limiting factors we see in general. We do see some value in the established pockets of the middle ring (20 kilometres from the city), however cash flow is not attractive at this stage. We see more value coming to hand in the next three to five years.

Brisbane: Our data suggests that Brisbane will continue to show a nice period of sustained growth into 2020. Its limiting factor in the past has been state government commitment to large-scale infrastructure projects, however, we are starting to see some stronger and more stable jobs figures and in the pockets of Ipswich, Lower Logan/Beenleigh and Moreton Bay. We see (and have seen for the past 24 months) some excellent opportunities to pick up properties around the $300,000 mark in areas which are seeing large scale gentrification and great yields.

Hobart: The east coast’s sleepy cousin is stirring a little and there are some good signs in the short-to-medium term for jobs growth. With the rise of the tourism dollar (specifically China) there is a very tight vacancy rate and demand is building. I see a good couple of years with good cash flow opportunities up to the year 2020.

Adelaide: PPI are a bit bearish in the next two to three years, with some of the large scale manufacturing plants closing over the short term. The announcement of the $50 billion submarine project will provide a great boost with an additional 3,000 or so high paying jobs flowing from this. However this project has a 15-year horizon and as such we don’t see the benefits coming in until around 2019 to 2022.

Perth: Well, it’s a bit of a tale of ‘if you can’t say anything nice, don’t say anything at all’. Perth has some very depressed markets which are getting more depressed by the day. The only saving grace for Perth property investors at this stage are the historically low interest rates. They are not showing any real sign of transitioning their economy from iron ore and gas to mainstream economic drivers. If the state federal government can’t drive jobs growth in the next one to two years before the interests rates start to rise, I do see a blood bath in the short term as investors will not be able to hold their investments once interest rates start to rise. However, the savvy investor will most certainly keep a distinct eye on this market and if we see a turnaround in the days on market, jobs growth and buyer sentiment there will be some distinct bargains to be had.

Darwin: Similar to Perth, we see some distinct challenges in jobs growth and economic diversification. If the new gas project gets off the ground we may see some prolonged price stability, however PPI are bearish on Darwin at this stage.

Canberra: The little engine that could, Canberra continues to deliver investors a solid and stable return. With the Q4 2015/2016 data showing Canberra has delivered the country’s best growth (at over 3 per cent) for the quarter, a stable government and jobs market will continue to provide a safe return for investors. Cash flow is a little slim and entry point is a bit higher (around the $450,000 to $550,000 mark).

So what’s the cash flow situation in general for each state?

Melbourne: Supply on the market and coming to the market is looking very high, and we believe this is going to depress yields for the next three to five years.

Sydney: The more tightly held (non-developable) areas have seen a slightly higher yield albeit a small bump. Sydney is expensive and that is still keeping many Generation Y’s in the rental market as they can’t afford to enter the home buyers/investor market. However the data suggests yields are around the 3 to 4 per cent depending on the area and we don’t see that changing. Creative investors are always looking to add cash flow (granny flats, share accommodation, developing blocks, etc).

Brisbane: One of the better cash flow markets across the country with strong yields and good demand. Stick to the growing areas of Ipswich, Beenleigh/Logan, Moreton Bay where we are buying 6 per cent plus yielding (sub 15-year-old) properties in growth areas. Be sure to understand the vacancy rates and unemployment situations however as they can prove to be very important in these markets.

Hobart: Very tight supply (sub 2 per cent) which is providing great return for cash flow investors. Stick to the middle/outer suburbs (10 to 25 kilometres from city). We are picking up properties which are providing 7 to 8 per cent yields regularly.

Adelaide: Stick to the middle/inner rings. Cash-flow is okay in Adelaide at the moment, and we see that continuing into the next two to three years. Though 5 per cent gross yields are readily achievable, I would steer clear of the outer rings until we see the true fallout of the manufacturing sector.

Perth and Darwin: Cash-flow is okay, but the big caveat is the demand factor. On paper, the properties are achieving 5 per cent gross but the vacancy rates are increasing by the day and this will be a big issue in the long run.

Canberra: With low vacancy rates within the 15 kilometre ring of our capital we see an even keel return of around the 4 to 4.5 per cent gross mark. This is not lighting anyone’s socks on fire, however it’s pretty consistent and looks to remain that way.

So which regions have the most potential for capital growth under $450,000? Which regions have limited potential?

Brisbane: Still our number one pick at the moment, specifically out towards Ipswich, Lower Logan suburbs and Moreton Bay. Price point is still extremely affordable, yields are excellent and demand/jobs creation is building.

Perth and Darwin: In the short term we don’t see any data that is going to help its situation. Perth has seen a doubling of the properties on the market between 2014 and 2016 and they have a long way to go to show signs of growth. It is relatively cheap buying in Perth at the moment but you need to pick the start of the next growth cycle and not just the bottom to ensure you are achieving capital growth.

So that’s our around the grounds for financial year 2016/2017. As you can see, its most certainly not a ‘one market’ approach and where you invest will most certainly dictate your returns in the lucky county.

Original article published at www.smartpropertyinvestment.com.au by Paul Glossop

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Revealed: These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for 2019

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Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for 2019
Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for 2019

THE hottest suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.

THE hottest suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.

THE hottest growth suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.

Terry Ryder of Hotspotting has released his latest Price Predictor Index, which tracks rising sales in suburbs across the country and identifies the places likely to deliver strong price growth in the near future.

The index found 33 suburbs in Brisbane were “rising steadily”, with the strongest market being the affordable Moreton Bay region.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane

“The Brisbane market is showing signs of uplift, with more growth suburbs emerging in the latest survey,” Mr Ryder said.

In fact, Moreton Bay is the second strongest growth market in the country — eclipsed only by Port Adelaide — with 10 suburbs classified as “rising steadily”.

These include Clontarf and Woody Point, which have seen increases in sales activity.

Mr Ryder said the suburbs’ drawcards included affordable prices, new rail links, a soon to completed new university campus and a bayside lifestyle.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane 2019

The second highest ranked market after Moreton Bay is Brisbane south, which has eight rising markets — many surprise contenders as they have beaten bluechips to take out the top spots where prices are expected to outperform.

Those suburbs are Mt Gravatt East, Corinda, Forest Lake, Mansfield, Oxley, Parkinson and Sunnybank Hills.

Most of these fit into Brisbane’s “middle market”, with median house prices in the range from $650,000 to $800,000.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs

The number of growth suburbs in Brisbane’s north have risen from four to seven in the latest survey, with rising demand occurring in Alderley, Bald Hills, Brighton, Geebung, Gordon Park, Newmarket and Stafford Heights.

Across the state, Clinton in the Gladstone region is the top growth suburb in Queensland, while Emerald in central Queensland, Kearneys Spring in Toowoomba, Little Mountain on the Sunshine Coast and Torquay in Hervey Bay also make the list.

Brisbane’s south, Mackay and Moreton Bay are among the national top 10 regions with the highest number of growth suburbs.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for the year 2019

But when it comes to consistent sales growth, one Queensland suburb has taken out the top spot in the country — Mountain Creek on the Sunshine Coast.

The suburb, with a median home price of $635,000, has sold between 90 and 110 homes in each quarter over the past four years.

Its median house price has increased 10.5 per cent in just the past 12 months.

“Most property buyers are seeking growth and in the search for rising prices there’s a tendency to undervalue the consistent markets,” Mr Ryder said.

“These places represent safety for buyers because markets like this are likely to maintain

steady price levels — but these markets also deliver good growth.”

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane in the year 2019

BRISBANE’S HOTTEST GROWTH SUBURBS FOR 2019:

Alderley

Alexandra Hills

Bald Hills

Banksia Beach

Beachmere

Bray Park

Brighton

Burpengary

Carina

Clontarf

Corinda

Eagleby

Forest Lake

Geebung

Gordon Park

Heritage Park

Joyner

Kenmore

Loganholme

Mansfield

Mt Gravatt East

Newmarket

Oxley

Parkinson

Redcliffe

Rothwell

Salisbury

Stafford Heights

Strathpine

Sunnybank Hills

Woody Point

Wynnum West

(Source: The Price Predictor Index)

Originally published as Brisbane’s hottest suburbs revealed

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Queensland Attracts UK Property Seekers

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Queensland Attracts UK Property Seekers

Research by realestate.com.au showed that searches for property in Queensland climbed by nearly a third in December compared to the same period in the previous year. This was driven largely by British people who are flocking to one of the most populous states in the country, according to a report by news.com.au.

The study found that property searches originating from the UK increased 31%, with the Sunshine Coast suburbs of Noosa Heads, Buderim and Mooloolaba as popular picks among potential buyers.

New Farm, Redcliffe and North Lakes, meanwhile, topped the list of the most in-demand suburbs in Brisbane.

Nerida Conisbee, Realestate.com.au chief economist, said Queensland, specifically its beachside properties, held the top spot in terms of total search activity among UK property seekers.

“The Hemsworth impact seems to be impacting the view of Byron Bay with this the most searched by UK property seekers in December 2018 — the number tripling from December 2017,” she said.

Universal Buyers Agents Director Darren Piper said that the chaos surrounding Brexit in Britain was enticing overseas buyers to explore the Australian property market.

“House prices in London have fallen for the fifth quarter in a row. It’s natural for investors to look for safe havens in times of uncertainty,” he said.

Australia’s property market has consistently grown over the past decade, with homes in Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne reaching record prices.

“It’s the perfect time for people to get their foot in the door and it’s a great time as a homeowner to explore your options, maybe make a move or stay the course,” said Piper.

 

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Labor Unveils $6.6bn Affordable Housing Plan to Build 250,000 New Homes

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Labor Unveils $6.6bn Affordable Housing Plan

Labor has announced a ten-year plan to build 250,000 new homes across Australia, including 20,000 during its first term in government if it wins the election.

The $6.6 billion investment would see 250,000 new homes for low income and working families, key workers such as nurses, police, carers and teachers and women over 55, the fastest emerging group of Australians at risk of homelessness.

Subsidies of $8,500 per year would be offered to investors building new homes in return for cheaper rent for eligible tenants.

Opposition leader Bill Shorten unveiled the multibillion-dollar plan in his address yesterday at Labor’s three-day national conference in Adelaide.

“Building more affordable housing is infrastructure policy. It is cities policy. It is jobs and productivity policy,” he said.

The plan would see a family paying the national rental average save up to $92 each week.

“When you provide an affordable home for hard-working people, you give them the level playing-field and fair start they need,” he said.

Shorten said Labor would work with the states and territories, local councils, and community housing providers to make sure the rollout of homes were built “where they’re needed most” and would “go to the people who need them most”.

“Not foreign investors, nor international students.”

Affordable Housing Plan

The new homes would be accessible for all ages and for people with a disability, with Shorten describing the new homes as “more energy efficient, meaning lower power bills”, also offering a rental discount of 20 per cent.

Describing Labor as a “party of home ownership, and a party of affordable housing and community housing”, Shorten used the speech as an opportunity to call on industry super to “step up” and invest in affordable housing projects.

And of course, the opposition leader touched upon the hotly debated campaign election issue: negative gearing.

“This is a boost for renters and for the liveability of our growing suburbs… Alongside our plans to make negative gearing fairer, it will drive a boom in construction jobs and apprenticeships,” Shorten said.

A recent report published by the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI) found Australia needed to triple its social housing by 2036, faced with a shortfall of 433,000 social housing dwellings.

Labor Unveils $6.6bn Affordable Housing Plan to Build 250,000 New Homes

Property industry bodies welcome Labor’s announcement

Property Council chief executive Ken Morrison welcomed the incentives, but said they are “no substitute” for the supply of housing which is funded by 2.1 million property investors, “including those who access negative gearing”.

Housing affordability remains a critical issue for many Australians, an issue Morrison says is often overshadowed in the media by Melbourne and Sydney’s cooling markets.

“It makes sense to harness the investment capacity of the private sector to deliver affordable housing,” Morrison said.

“Labor’s incentives for investors to deliver affordable housing will make a contribution to meeting that need while also providing a boost to our construction industry, a key driver of economic activity.”

Planning schemes, land supply, and property taxes, which make up around 25 per cent of the cost of a new house are all part of the housing affordability mix, Morrison added, “there is no single ‘silver bullet’ solution”.

Urban Taskforce chief executive Chris Johnson said many different approaches are needed to tackle the hugely complex housing affordability issue.

“State and territory governments still have a responsibility to ensure that enough appropriately-zoned land is available in inner-ring suburbs to ensure sufficient housing supply,” Johnson said.

“Infrastructure levies must be kept under control to ensure that these do not add to the cost of housing production.”

 

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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