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Super and personal tax tweaks will drive more people into the property market

















Australia’s federal government clearly sees its program of annual reductions in the company tax rate as the core element in its plan for “jobs and growth”.

There is now a large – though by no means uncontested – body of evidence to support the contention that reductions in company tax rates can support faster rates of GDP growth and higher wages. It does this by stimulating higher levels of investment and hence higher levels of labour productivity.

But there is very little evidence supporting the favouring of small businesses over large in this regard. The significant preference which both this budget and its predecessor have extended to small businesses appears to owe much more to a desire to bow before small business than to any unambiguous economic rationale.

Small businesses have accounted for only 18% of the increase in employment over the most recent five years for which data are available, while firms with more than 200 employees – which the ABS defines as “large” – have accounted for 52% of the increase in total employment over the past five years, despite accounting for less than 32% of total employment. And large businesses are more likely to engage in “innovative activities” than small ones, especially ones with four or fewer employees.

In other words, if the government wanted to cut company taxes in a way that was most likely to result in increased job creation or higher levels of innovation (assuming that cutting company taxes would have that effect), it should have cut company taxes for large companies ahead of small ones. But that would have been exceedingly difficult, politically, in the current climate.

Mixed messages

The other key element of the government’s ten year enterprise tax plan is the increase in the tax threshold for the second-top marginal rate from $80,000 to $87,000. The government says this will prevent “average full time wage earners … from moving into the second highest tax bracket”. But when you consider the difference between gross and taxable incomes, and that most people use deductions to reduce their taxable income, $87,000 is far from average.

The budget seems to be saying to people with taxable incomes of less than $80,000 – if you want to pay less tax, get yourself a negatively-geared property investment.

The budget is also arguably saying the same thing to people with taxable incomes of more than $250,000, people who have already contributed $500,000 to superannuation over the course of their lifetimes, or people who already have at least $1.6mn in their superannuation accounts. The message is if you put any more into superannuation, we are going to tax you more, but if you put it into a negatively-geared property investment, we won’t touch you, because (in the words of the Treasurer’s Budget Speech), “that would increase the tax burden on Australians just trying to invest and provide a future for their families”.

I am quite comfortable with the budget’s proposed changes to superannuation arrangements. But I can’t see why people – even wealthy people – who are “just trying to invest” through superannuation should be singled out for less generous tax treatment, while people who are doing exactly the same thing through negatively geared property (or other) investments should remain unscathed.

The Treasurer reportedly toyed with the idea of limiting “excesses and abuses” of negative gearing, with caps on claims. This would have more or less exactly paralleled what the budget seeks to do with regard to superannuation.

The decision not to go down that path was reportedly “a political – and not an economic – move”.

But it has, and will have, economic consequences.

Combined with the Reserve Bank’s latest cut in official interest rates, the budget’s decisions and non-decisions with regard to income tax cuts, superannuation and negative gearing are likely to encourage more Australians to borrow more money in order to invest in the property market. At a time when Australia has one of the developed world’s highest ratios of household debt to GDP or personal income, and amongst the developed world’s most expensive residential real estate.

This is a condensed version of a longer essay on the 2016 federal budget.

The ConversationSaul Eslake does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond the academic appointment above.

Saul Eslake, Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow, University of Tasmania

This article was originally published on The Conversation. Read the original article.

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Sydney Baby Boomers drive real estate boom in Brisbane



Sydney Baby Boomers drive real estate boom in Brisbane

Brisbane’s bayside suburb of Wynnum is an attractive option for southern buyers.Source:Supplied

A MIGRATION of cashed-up Baby Boomers from Sydney will lead to a real estate boom in Brisbane, according to property investment experts.

A Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) members’ survey revealed that Brisbane was regarded as the best capital city for property investment.

Of the members who participated in the survey, 46.15 per cent rated Brisbane as the best capital for investment prospects in 2018.

PIPA chairman Peter Koulizos said the Queensland capital was expected to boom as a side effect of the Sydney property boom happening when Baby Boomers were looking at retiring.

“People that have a lot of equity in their home can retire or semi-retire by selling up and buying a home in southeast Queensland,” Mr Koulizos said.

And with the median house price in Sydney more than $1 million, he said this would give them a sizeable pile of cash left over after buying a home further north.

“That is because there is such a big price difference between Brisbane and Sydney,” he said.

A PIPA survey from last year also rated Brisbane as the best capital city in which to invest, but in the past 12 months the average house price has increased by just 2.9 per cent.

Mr Koulizos said a boom would come eventually, but picking the exact point was tricky.

“Property booms take a long time to gather momentum, I doubt you will see double digit growth in Brisbane this year but it may be different next year,” he said.

Melbourne was the next best investment option according to the survey, with 19.23 per cent believing it was a good place to invest, followed by Perth at 15.38 per cent.

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The property clock strikes big for hot spot areas



The property clock strikes big for hot spot areas

9 Lion St, Ipswich. Picture:

DESPITE last month’s previous lacklustre values, analyst Michael Matusik has identified the areas on the upswing.

While property values remained fairly stagnant during February, property analyst Michael Matusik has revealed where the housing market is on the upswing.

Mr Matusik’s latest property clock for houses, has Brisbane, Gold Coast, Logan, Redlands, Sunshine Coast and Gympie all in upswing.

He said a market’s position on the property clock was based on the strength and direction of key indicators including sales numbers, price and rent, demand and how much new supply there was.

His latest Matusik Missive also listed Ipswich, the Fraser Coast and Noosa markets as heading into upswing territory.

Ipswich has many beautiful homes, often at prices well below what something similar would cost in Brisbane’s suburbs. A four-bedroom home at 9 Lion St,Ipswich is listed for $879,000.

The land the home sits on was bought in 1904 from the family of the then Ipswich Mayor Mr Pettigrew. A home was built on it in 1907.

The period home has 3.5m high ceilings, VJ walls, period window, and timber floorboards which have all been restored.

REAL ESTATE: 9 Lion St, Ipswich. Picture:

REAL ESTATE: 9 Lion St, Ipswich. Picture:

The home has two new bathrooms, a large separate dining area and study. It is listed through Steve Athanates of NGU Real Estate Ipswich.

On the Gold Coast at Robina, 196 Easthill Drive is listed for more than $850,000.

The three-bedroom home is within the Glades Golf Community.

It has formal and informal living and dining areas, and an outdoor entertainment area with a swimming pool nearby.

196 Easthill Drive, Robina. Picture:

196 Easthill Drive, Robina. Picture:

It is listed through Ian and Linda Mills of McGrath – Palm Beach.

On the Sunshine Coast at Noosaville a home at 15 Bluebell Court is listed for offers of more than $740,000.

The three-bedroom home is in a cul-de-sac in a residential pocket bordered by the Lake Doonella Reserve.

The single-level home has open plan living and dining areas. An outdoor area overlooks the pool and reserve at the rear of the property.

15 Bluebell Court, Noosaville. Picture:

15 Bluebell Court, Noosaville. Picture:

The property has a double lockup garage, plus on-site side parking for a boat or caravan, on the 975sq m block.

It is listed through Tansy Grant and Justin Sykes of Ray White – Noosa.

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Where to invest: These are the suburbs where house prices are tipped to grow



Where to invest These are the suburbs where house prices are tipped to grow

Annaliese Bullock, 27 with husband Jared, 27 and daughter Lyla 5 months sold their Burpengary before it even went on the market. Picture: AAP/ Megan Slade.Source:News Limited

THESE are the rising stars of Brisbane’s property market, the 27 growth suburbs investors need to know about.

INVESTORS chasing capital growth in Brisbane are spoiled for choice, with a new report identifying 27 suburbs where house prices are tipped to rise — and more than half of them have a median price of less than $500,000.

Property analyst Terry Ryder has identified the rising stars of the property market — where sales are rising steadily and house prices are set to follow. And they’re not the inner-city, blue chip suburbs you might expect.

Terry Ryder, managing director of

Terry Ryder, managing director of Corp Australia

Moreton Bay is the number one local government area in the state for growth, according to the latest Price Predictor Index report from Hotspotting.

The report examines sales activity, rather than prices, to determine the best and worst local government areas for property market growth.

This property at 8 Kroll St, Kippa-Ring, is inviting interest over $379,000.

This property at 8 Kroll St, Kippa-Ring, is inviting interest over $379,000.Source:Supplied

This big, four-bedroom home at 35 Westminster Rd, Bellmere, is available for offers over $379,000. Picture:

This big, four-bedroom home at 35 Westminster Rd, Bellmere, is available for offers over $379,000. Picture:

The Moreton Bay region has 10 rising star suburbs where sales have been steadily increasing including Banksia Beach, Bellmere and Deception Bay.

This family home at 33 Male Rd, Caboolture, is on the market for offers over $349,000.

This family home at 33 Male Rd, Caboolture, is on the market for offers over $349,000.Source:Supplied

This cute Queenslander cottage at 62 Tibrogargan Drive, Narangba, is on the market for offers over $355,000.

This cute Queenslander cottage at 62 Tibrogargan Drive, Narangba, is on the market for offers over $355,000.Source:Supplied

Quarterly sales in Burpengary have risen from 69 to 97 in the past six quarters, while at Sandstone Point, sales are up from around 40 per quarter to 55 to 60.

Homes are selling so fast in the area that Jared and Annaliese Bullock just sold their four-bedroom house in Burpengary for $475,000 before they had a chance to even put it on the market.

Mrs Bullock said she contacted an agent at RE/MAX Ultimate, who brought through a couple of potential buyers and the offer was made within days.

But she’s not too surprised, given how close the suburb is to the train station, shops and the highway. The couple also recently bought two units as investment properties in nearby Caboolture. Acacia Ridge, Algester, Eight Mile Plains, Kuraby and Sunnybank Hills are also predicted growth areas.

This four-bedroom home on 617 sqm at 13 Stonewood St, Algester, is for sale.

This four-bedroom home on 617 sqm at 13 Stonewood St, Algester, is for sale.Source:Supplied

“It’s the affordable, outer areas that have got the most activity at the moment,” Mr Ryder said.

“The infrastructure is pretty good, with train links to the centre of the city, and there’s lots of shopping centres and good amenities.”

“The sweet spot is to be about 200 metres from a school, a shopping centre and a train station.”


Acacia Ridge $402,000

Algester $493,000

Banksia Beach $550,000

Bellmere $345,000

Birkdale $533,000

Boondall $490,000

Burpengary $420,000

Caboolture $340,000

Caboolture South $290,000

Deception Bay $345,000

Eight Mile Plains $788,000

Ferny Grove $595,000

Goodna $324,000

Jimboomba $480,000

Kippa Ring $415,000

Kuraby $679,000

Mt Warren Park $390

Narangba $458,000

Petrie $410,000

Raceview $318,000

Sandstone Point $420,000

Sinnamon Park $720,000

Springfield $426,000

Sunnybank Hills $660,000

Tingalpa $516,000

Victoria Point $522,000

Woodridge $299,000

Source: Hotspotting

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