Connect with us

Nick Hart bought four homes in Adelaide in less than two years, and was getting ready to make an offer for a fifth, when a regulator-inspired move to cool the sizzling Australian property market spoiled his plans.

Low mortgage rates and a flood of Chinese investment have propelled prices 29 percent higher across Australia in the past three years. Photo: Dominic Lorrimer

Low mortgage rates and a flood of Chinese investment have propelled prices 29 percent higher across Australia in the past three years. Photo: Dominic Lorrimer

“I went to my bank for my next home loan and their response was eligibility assessments have changed, and they can’t lend more to me just yet,” said the 37-year-old sales manager at a software services firm. Hart said the bank told him his existing loans, equivalent to 93 percent of the value of his A$1.8 million ($1.3 million) properties, need to be reduced before he can borrow any more.

Last month, Australian banks raised interest rates for property investors and introduced tougher loan-to-value standards in response to a move by regulators to rein in the riskier corners of the country’s house price boom. With interest rates stuck at record lows due to the slowdown in the wider economy, the central bank and the Australian banking regulator have been grappling with ways to prevent a property price bubble.

There are signs that the market may be cooling. Inquiries from property investors dropped by a quarter last month, said Paul Bevan, a Melbourne-based mortgage broker. Price gains in Sydney, the city which has seen the fastest increases, are expected to ease to about a third of the annual pace of 18 percent seen in the year to July 31, according to a Bloomberg survey of six market analysts.

Softening trend

“All ingredients are in place now to spook the Sydney house-price momentum,” said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney. “It is better to cool the market rather than wait for the bubble to burst.”

Low mortgage rates and a flood of Chinese investment have propelled prices 29 percent higher across Australia in the past three years, according to research firm CoreLogic Inc. Prices in Sydney have jumped 46 percent over the same period.

Last year, the Reserve Bank of Australia called the housing market unbalanced, and the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority urged banks to limit the growth in investor home loans, which make up a record 53 percent of all mortgages, according to latest government figures.

The turning point came last month, when the banking regulator increased the capital that the banks need to hold against potential mortgage losses to an average of 25 percent, from 17 percent previously. That will force the four largest lenders to add A$12 billion in equity in a year, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs Inc. and Morgan Stanley.

Unbalanced Housing

In response, banks introduced a number of steps to curb borrowing for investment. They reduced the maximum loan amount they will lend relative to the value of a home, increased the interest rate used to assess borrowers’ ability to repay, and reduced the sources of income they would accept in investor borrowing applications.

Last month, the three biggest lenders — Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Westpac Banking Corp. — increased home-loan rates for landlords by as much as much 30 basis points. For the first time since 1997, investors pay more than owner-occupiers on mortgages from those banks.

ANZ and National Australia Bank Ltd., the fourth-largest lender by market value, have capped the loan-to-value ratio at 90 percent, down from as much as 95 percent.

Safest Bet

Investors are “still keen” to enter the property market but they would find it difficult to meet the new loan-to-value rules, said Martin North, principal at Sydney-based Digital Finance Analytics, citing a rolling survey of 26,000 households across the country on financial and property expectations.

“While I expect things to slow down through this year and into the next, a price collapse is unlikely when rates are still low,” North said.

Property investor Hart says homes are still his safest bet though he acknowledges he wouldn’t be able to expand his portfolio as fast as he had expected.

“By next year, I’m sure the value of my properties will rise further and I’d be able to pay down some of my mortgage,” he said. “Once that’s done, I can go to my bank for the next one.”

​Bloomberg

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Market Place

Revealed: These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for 2019

Published

on

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for 2019
Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for 2019

THE hottest suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.

THE hottest suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.

THE hottest growth suburbs in Brisbane have been revealed amid signs of “uplift” for the city’s housing market, according to a leading national property analyst.

Terry Ryder of Hotspotting has released his latest Price Predictor Index, which tracks rising sales in suburbs across the country and identifies the places likely to deliver strong price growth in the near future.

The index found 33 suburbs in Brisbane were “rising steadily”, with the strongest market being the affordable Moreton Bay region.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane

“The Brisbane market is showing signs of uplift, with more growth suburbs emerging in the latest survey,” Mr Ryder said.

In fact, Moreton Bay is the second strongest growth market in the country — eclipsed only by Port Adelaide — with 10 suburbs classified as “rising steadily”.

These include Clontarf and Woody Point, which have seen increases in sales activity.

Mr Ryder said the suburbs’ drawcards included affordable prices, new rail links, a soon to completed new university campus and a bayside lifestyle.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane 2019

The second highest ranked market after Moreton Bay is Brisbane south, which has eight rising markets — many surprise contenders as they have beaten bluechips to take out the top spots where prices are expected to outperform.

Those suburbs are Mt Gravatt East, Corinda, Forest Lake, Mansfield, Oxley, Parkinson and Sunnybank Hills.

Most of these fit into Brisbane’s “middle market”, with median house prices in the range from $650,000 to $800,000.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs

The number of growth suburbs in Brisbane’s north have risen from four to seven in the latest survey, with rising demand occurring in Alderley, Bald Hills, Brighton, Geebung, Gordon Park, Newmarket and Stafford Heights.

Across the state, Clinton in the Gladstone region is the top growth suburb in Queensland, while Emerald in central Queensland, Kearneys Spring in Toowoomba, Little Mountain on the Sunshine Coast and Torquay in Hervey Bay also make the list.

Brisbane’s south, Mackay and Moreton Bay are among the national top 10 regions with the highest number of growth suburbs.

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane for the year 2019

But when it comes to consistent sales growth, one Queensland suburb has taken out the top spot in the country — Mountain Creek on the Sunshine Coast.

The suburb, with a median home price of $635,000, has sold between 90 and 110 homes in each quarter over the past four years.

Its median house price has increased 10.5 per cent in just the past 12 months.

“Most property buyers are seeking growth and in the search for rising prices there’s a tendency to undervalue the consistent markets,” Mr Ryder said.

“These places represent safety for buyers because markets like this are likely to maintain

steady price levels — but these markets also deliver good growth.”

Revealed These are the hottest suburbs in Brisbane in the year 2019

BRISBANE’S HOTTEST GROWTH SUBURBS FOR 2019:

Alderley

Alexandra Hills

Bald Hills

Banksia Beach

Beachmere

Bray Park

Brighton

Burpengary

Carina

Clontarf

Corinda

Eagleby

Forest Lake

Geebung

Gordon Park

Heritage Park

Joyner

Kenmore

Loganholme

Mansfield

Mt Gravatt East

Newmarket

Oxley

Parkinson

Redcliffe

Rothwell

Salisbury

Stafford Heights

Strathpine

Sunnybank Hills

Woody Point

Wynnum West

(Source: The Price Predictor Index)

Originally published as Brisbane’s hottest suburbs revealed

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

Continue Reading

Market Place

Queensland Attracts UK Property Seekers

Published

on

Queensland Attracts UK Property Seekers

Research by realestate.com.au showed that searches for property in Queensland climbed by nearly a third in December compared to the same period in the previous year. This was driven largely by British people who are flocking to one of the most populous states in the country, according to a report by news.com.au.

The study found that property searches originating from the UK increased 31%, with the Sunshine Coast suburbs of Noosa Heads, Buderim and Mooloolaba as popular picks among potential buyers.

New Farm, Redcliffe and North Lakes, meanwhile, topped the list of the most in-demand suburbs in Brisbane.

Nerida Conisbee, Realestate.com.au chief economist, said Queensland, specifically its beachside properties, held the top spot in terms of total search activity among UK property seekers.

“The Hemsworth impact seems to be impacting the view of Byron Bay with this the most searched by UK property seekers in December 2018 — the number tripling from December 2017,” she said.

Universal Buyers Agents Director Darren Piper said that the chaos surrounding Brexit in Britain was enticing overseas buyers to explore the Australian property market.

“House prices in London have fallen for the fifth quarter in a row. It’s natural for investors to look for safe havens in times of uncertainty,” he said.

Australia’s property market has consistently grown over the past decade, with homes in Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne reaching record prices.

“It’s the perfect time for people to get their foot in the door and it’s a great time as a homeowner to explore your options, maybe make a move or stay the course,” said Piper.

 

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

Continue Reading

Market Place

Labor Unveils $6.6bn Affordable Housing Plan to Build 250,000 New Homes

Published

on

Labor Unveils $6.6bn Affordable Housing Plan

Labor has announced a ten-year plan to build 250,000 new homes across Australia, including 20,000 during its first term in government if it wins the election.

The $6.6 billion investment would see 250,000 new homes for low income and working families, key workers such as nurses, police, carers and teachers and women over 55, the fastest emerging group of Australians at risk of homelessness.

Subsidies of $8,500 per year would be offered to investors building new homes in return for cheaper rent for eligible tenants.

Opposition leader Bill Shorten unveiled the multibillion-dollar plan in his address yesterday at Labor’s three-day national conference in Adelaide.

“Building more affordable housing is infrastructure policy. It is cities policy. It is jobs and productivity policy,” he said.

The plan would see a family paying the national rental average save up to $92 each week.

“When you provide an affordable home for hard-working people, you give them the level playing-field and fair start they need,” he said.

Shorten said Labor would work with the states and territories, local councils, and community housing providers to make sure the rollout of homes were built “where they’re needed most” and would “go to the people who need them most”.

“Not foreign investors, nor international students.”

Affordable Housing Plan

The new homes would be accessible for all ages and for people with a disability, with Shorten describing the new homes as “more energy efficient, meaning lower power bills”, also offering a rental discount of 20 per cent.

Describing Labor as a “party of home ownership, and a party of affordable housing and community housing”, Shorten used the speech as an opportunity to call on industry super to “step up” and invest in affordable housing projects.

And of course, the opposition leader touched upon the hotly debated campaign election issue: negative gearing.

“This is a boost for renters and for the liveability of our growing suburbs… Alongside our plans to make negative gearing fairer, it will drive a boom in construction jobs and apprenticeships,” Shorten said.

A recent report published by the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI) found Australia needed to triple its social housing by 2036, faced with a shortfall of 433,000 social housing dwellings.

Labor Unveils $6.6bn Affordable Housing Plan to Build 250,000 New Homes

Property industry bodies welcome Labor’s announcement

Property Council chief executive Ken Morrison welcomed the incentives, but said they are “no substitute” for the supply of housing which is funded by 2.1 million property investors, “including those who access negative gearing”.

Housing affordability remains a critical issue for many Australians, an issue Morrison says is often overshadowed in the media by Melbourne and Sydney’s cooling markets.

“It makes sense to harness the investment capacity of the private sector to deliver affordable housing,” Morrison said.

“Labor’s incentives for investors to deliver affordable housing will make a contribution to meeting that need while also providing a boost to our construction industry, a key driver of economic activity.”

Planning schemes, land supply, and property taxes, which make up around 25 per cent of the cost of a new house are all part of the housing affordability mix, Morrison added, “there is no single ‘silver bullet’ solution”.

Urban Taskforce chief executive Chris Johnson said many different approaches are needed to tackle the hugely complex housing affordability issue.

“State and territory governments still have a responsibility to ensure that enough appropriately-zoned land is available in inner-ring suburbs to ensure sufficient housing supply,” Johnson said.

“Infrastructure levies must be kept under control to ensure that these do not add to the cost of housing production.”

 

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

Continue Reading

Trending